Europeans believe that Ukraine's war with Russia will end in negotiations

The overwhelming majority of Europeans believe that the Russian-Ukrainian war will eventually end in peaceful negotiations, and in some countries, more than half believe that partners should push Ukraine to negotiate.

According to Yevropeiska Pravda, this is evidenced by the results of a survey commissioned by the European Council on Foreign Relations, a think tank.

In almost all 14 countries where the survey was conducted, Europeans are skeptical about Ukraine's chances of winning - apart from Ukraine (15th country in the survey), the belief in the end of the war by Ukraine's victory prevails only in Estonia.

Such opinions also prevail in the case of the scenario that Western partners begin to provide Ukraine with more military assistance - in this case, the belief in Ukraine's victory increases by an average of 12 percentage points, but in eleven out of 15 countries, a peaceful settlement is still considered the most likely scenario.

At the same time, there are noticeable differences from country to country, as well as within each country where the survey was conducted, depending on the political views of the respondents.

Bulgaria, Greece, and Italy belong to the conditional camp of "some kind of peace as soon as possible," while Estonia, Sweden, Poland, the United Kingdom, and Portugal belong to the conditional camp of "a peace that is fair for Ukraine," and in six other countries opinions are divided roughly in half. There are no major differences between the results of the January and May 2024 surveys.

Author - Dmitriy Levchenko, 03/07/2024