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ISW: Why Russia is trying to show success on the left bank of Dnipro

Feb 21, 2024

The Kremlin's statement about the capture of Krynky is likely premature and was made to enhance the information effect before the presidential election in March 2024.

This is reported with reference to the ISW report.


Natalia Humeniuk, a spokesperson for the Southern Ukrainian Defense Forces, called Russia's efforts to destroy the Ukrainian bridgehead an attempt by Russia to achieve its information goal before the presidential election in Russia, while Shoigu characterized Russia's efforts on the eastern coast of the Kherson region as similar to the capture of Avdiivka.

The Kremlin is in no hurry to admit that Russia has seized the initiative in Ukraine. This may be due to fears that Russia will not be able to sustain the gains it has made. At the same time, Shoigu announced the "end" of the Ukrainian counteroffensive to demonstrate that Russia has the initiative.

The Kremlin's willingness to rhetorically discuss the pace and initiative of Russian offensive operations in Ukraine may be a result of the Kremlin's growing confidence in Russia's prospects and a conscious effort to support the Kremlin's narrative of war as the presidential election approaches.

According to ISW analysts, the Kremlin is increasingly talking about the pace and initiative of the offensive in Ukraine. This may be due to the growing confidence in Russia's prospects, as well as the desire to boost Putin's rating before the election.

The Kremlin is increasingly talking about military victories in Ukraine, but this is not always true. The purpose of such statements is to create the impression that Russia is winning, thereby boosting Putin's rating and demoralizing Ukraine. However, such rhetoric can create inflated expectations that the Russian army cannot meet.

Earlier, the Ukrainian Armed Forces denied that Russians had captured Krynky.

Author – Anastasiya Glotova, 21/02/2024

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